Friday, 3 October 2014

Betting for Value.

It's a very important gambling concept that you can only apply when you have sufficient information.

How much information is enough?  That's the $64,000 question.

I'm going to back five of tomorrow's games in win singles.  They are all at prices that I consider to be value.  Just because they are value in my eyes doesn't mean that they'll win. It's just that in the long run betting level stakes on them should show a profit.  If it doesn't, then either I haven't got enough information or the information, or my interpretation of the information I am using is faulty.  The price I think the results should be, for each game, is in brackets.


For The Safe Method you are advised to have 5 x 0.2pt singles on the following games:

Fulham to beat Middlesbrough @ 18-5 with  Sign Up Now & UK Sportsbook.  (Evs)  Score 0-2

Coventry City to draw with Crawley Town @ 13-5 with  bet365 Sign Up Now,
totesport.com. (6-4) Score 2-2
Notts County to beat Gillingham @ 13-10 with  bet365 , Sign Up Now, Boylesports & . (21-20)  Score 1-0

Bristol City to beat Walsall @ 6-4 with  bet365 Sign Up NowBoylesports, Paddy Power & .  (5-4)  Score 1-1

Plymouth Argyle to beat Shrewsbury Town @ 21-10 with  bet365 ,  Boylesports &  UK Sportsbook. (4-5)  Score 1-0

Plenty of colour there, I'm sure you'll agree.  I'm not asking for any money for these cracking value tips, but if you'd be so kind as to sign up to one or more of the bookmakers that you haven't already got an account with, I'd be very grateful.

Total stake for The Safe Method 1.00 pt.  Return  1.80 pts.  Profit 0.8 pt

For The Dangerous Method you are advised to have the same 0.2 pt bets as for The Safe Method plus a 0.1 pt patent on Fulham, Bristol City and Plymouth to win.  The best odds for this bet can be found with Sign Up Now.

Total stake for The Dangerous Method 1.70 pts.  Return 2.11 pts.  Profit 0.41 pt.

For TUB you are advised to have the same bets, the singles for 20 pts and the patent for 10 pts.

Total stake for TUB 170 pts.  Return 211 pts.  Profit 41 pts.

You Can't Eat It!

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