Friday, 10 October 2014

A Goal to be Reached.

Current standings 12.00 October 10th 2014: 

The Safe Method  -2.28 pt. (This includes 1 pt Man Utd. @ 11-2 & 0.1 pt @ 8-1 to win the Premier League as lost money)

The Dangerous Method +1.42 pts (This includes 2 pts Man Utd. @ 11-2 & 0.1 pt @ 8-1 to win the Premier League as lost money.)

TheBaseballTipper 2014  -2.91 pts 

Outstanding bets for TheBaseballTipper 2014:  1 pt St Louis Cardinals @ 8-1, 1 pt San Francisco @ 5-1.  0.1 pt each, Kansas City @ 50-1, San Francisco @ 18-1 and St Louis @ 11-1, all to win the World Series.  Plus 0.1 pt Baltimore Orioles to win the American League Pennant @ 13-2.   0.1 pt San Francisco Giants @ 10-1 to win the National League

TUB  -699.84 pts

For TheBaseballTipper 2014 it's 5 pts profit.  If you take a look at the outstanding bets you'll see that our returns for each team, should they win the World Series are as follows:

St Louis Cardinals 10.2 pts.  Potential profit 7.29 pts.

San Francisco Giants 9.0 pts.  Potential Profit 6.09 pts.

Kansas City Royals 5.1 pts.  Potential Profit 2.19 pts.

Plus, the fly in the ointment,

Baltimore Orioles 0.75 pt.  Potential Loss 2.16 pts

So this means that we need to invest 1.09 pts to elevate Kansas City and Baltimore's profit to 5 pts, to finish the season having made the aforementioned profit target of 5 pts.

As things stand we can't do that, so we need to hope that at some point during the seven game American League Championship Series, Kansas City can get two games in front!  At that point we'll be backing Baltimore for a comeback.

So let's see what will happen to the odds to win the World Series depending on who wins the first game tonight.

If Kansas City win @ 7-6 their odds will probably shorten from the current 100-30 to 11-4.  Baltimore on the other hand might drift from 9-4 to 11-4

If Baltimore win their odds will probably shorten to 2-1 from the current 9-4.  Kansas City will drift to 4-1 or possibly 9-2.  Still, not quite enough to enable us to justify a bet to take their profit to over 5 pts.

In short, with one team from the National League guaranteed to be in the World Series, giving us some ammunition to work with, we are not having a bet on tonight's game.


To make up for that we are going to try to give you some 'value' on the weekend's football.  The prices that thinks the games should be is in brackets after the bookies logos.

For The Safe Method you are advised to have 5 x 0.2 pt singles on the following games:

Cambridge Utd to beat Oxford Utd @ 17-10 with bet365 Sign Up Now.  (Evs).  Score 5-1

Luton Town to beat Southend @ 19-10 with  bet365 , Sign Up Now & UK Sportsbook.  (5-4)  Score 2-0

Newport County to beat York City @ 6-4 with   bet365  & Sign Up Now. (5-4).  Score 3-1

Shrewsbury to draw with Cheltenham @ 13-5 with .  ( 23-20).  Score 3-1

Peterborough to beat Crawley @ 11-8 with Coral Icon 50x28  (8-11).  Score 4-1

Total stake for The Safe Method 1.00 pt.  Return 2.1 pts.  Profit 1.1 pt.

For The Dangerous Method you are advised to have the same 0.2 pt singles as for The Safe Method and in addition you should have a 0.1 pt patent on:

Cambridge to beat Oxford @ 13-8

Shrewsbury & Cheltenham to draw @ 5-2

Peterborough to beat Crawley @ 13-10
The above odds for this patent can be found at Sign Up Now.

Total stake for The Dangerous Method 1.7 pts.  Return 3.19  Profit 1.49 pts.

For TUB you are advised to have the same bets, the singles for 20 pts and the patent for 10 pts.

Total stake for TUB 170 pts. Return 319 pts.  Profit 149 pts.

Sometimes No Bet Is Better Than An Odds-On Winner!

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