Monday, 12 May 2014

Hedging?

Current standings at 10.00 hrs BST on Monday 12th May 2014

TheBaseballTipper 2014  -1.91 pts

TUB   -924.75 pts (Includes 200 pts on Wigan to be promoted @ 5-2 as 'lost' money).

Baseball first.  For TheBaseballTipper 2014 you are advised to have a 0.1 pt patent on the following teams:

Baltimore Orioles to beat Detroit Tigers @ 100-103.  Score 1-4

Oakland Athletics to beat Chicago White Sox @ 100-177.  Score 5-4

San Francisco Giants to beat Atlanta Braves @ 20-23.  Score 4-2

These prices are available with: bet365

Total stake 0.7 pt.  Return 0.64.  Loss 0.06 pt.

For TUB you are advised to have the same patent for the increased stake of 10 pts.

Total stake on baseball for TUB 70 pts.  Return 63.61 pts.  Loss 6.39 pts.

On to tonight's play-off football in League 2.

You are advised, for TUB followers only, to have:

 110 pts on York City to beat Fleetwood Town @ 6-4.  This price is available with: Football Jackpot Gif 468x60

You are also advised to have 90 pts on York City and Fleetwood Town to draw @ 9-4 and this price is available with:


Football Jackpot Gif 468x60 McBookie.com 
                                                       &
totesport.com

There is also the small matter of what to do with the 7/700 points at risk in the QPR vs Wigan game.  Should QPR win that will simply disappear.  It's too much, in terms of potential profit for TUB to simply let go, so we're going to have a saver.  

Firstly, for the three methods that finished, holding slips with 2pts @ 5-2 on Wigan to be promoted, i.e. copied from 22nd April 2014:

Goals Achieved!

'These standings are after tonight's wins by Leicester & Reading and they still include the 2 pts staked on Wigan to be promoted to the Premier League @ 5-2 as a possible profit boosting bonus:

'Final' standings for season 2013/14

The Dangerous Method +11.512 pts.


TheBaseballTipper  +5.779 pts


The Proper Footytipping Season Starts Now Method 5.910 pts'


For these three methods we are simply letting it ride.  If we dip into the profit to place a saver we will be compelled to do so again in the play-off final, otherwise the profit for the season could possibly drop below the targets for all three of those methods.  I must underline the fact that the loss has already been accepted and is included in the 'final' profit for the season.  If Wigan make it to the play-off final to play Derby we might have a bet and then again we might not.  We are effectively freerolling tonight at poor odds.  A bet placed now would get us odds of 7-2.  C'est la vie!

But for TUB, still being in the minus overall, means that any profit, however small it is, must be wrested from the bookie's sweaty palms.  You are advised for TUB to have 150 pts on QPR to be promoted @ 5-2.  This price is available with:
bet365

Football Jackpot Gif 468x60 McBookie.com 

Total stake on Football for TUB 350 pts.

Action Stations!

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